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2023年城投债境内外到期压力！
城投债 时间：2023-03-23

       近年来，城投债到期规模逐年攀升，纵览2023年山东省城投债境内全年到期情况，其境内静态到期规模为2,358.04亿元 ，其中2023年12月及2024年1月为其到期低谷，到期金额分别为155.44亿元和123.43亿元，但在叠加上回售行权及永续债赎回行权的金额后，整体到期低谷及峰值出现小幅攀升趋势，到期及预计规模合计为520.81亿元和351.83亿元。此外，整体境内外到期及回售（含永续债赎回），合计规模约为5,254.58亿元 。


       粗略统计了未来一年内（2023年3月15日至2024年3月15日 ）城投主体境内外存续债的到期及回售静态情况。本篇将以山东省为主要切入点，数据涵盖永续债的预计赎回、回售行权及到期情况。同时，从时间线分布、债券类型及山东省各地区到期及回售情况进行图表分析。


       境内方面


       据不完全统计，未来一年内，山东省城投主体面临到期规模约为2,358.04亿元，预计回售规模为2,271.76亿元，永续债预计赎回规模为304.80亿元，合计4,934.60亿元；其中偿债压力将集中于山东省内强地级市级别城投，到期规模及预计回售规模分别是434.43亿元和493.81亿元。


       目前省内存续21笔城投美元债将在2023年内到期，分别由青岛华通国有资本投资运营集团有限公司，济南能源集团有限公司等18家公司发行，合计到期规模为46.35亿美元（合人民币319.98亿元）。


       未来一年，山东省预计到期城投境外债合计规模为46.35亿美元（合人民币319.98亿元），分别由青岛华通国有资本投资运营集团有限公司，济南能源集团有限公司等18家公司发行，将在一年内相继到期。


       其中，山东城投境外债11月到期达到顶峰，总规模为13.12亿美元（合人民币90.58亿元），地区压力集中在济南市与青岛市，分别为17.35亿美元（合人民币119.78亿元）与20亿美元（合人民币138.07亿元）。青岛华通国有资本投资运营集团有限公司和寿光市城市建设投资开发有限公司有多笔境外债到期，分别为3笔和2笔。


       汇率采用2023年3月16日，1美元 = 6.9036人民币，进行换算。


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